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Definitive Analysis

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Fuji Seal International, Inc. (7864.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaging & ContainersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9,236.04 - $46,285.02$16,514.78
Multi-Stage$8,231.66 - $9,028.38$8,622.56
Blended Fair Value$12,568.67
Current Price$2,849.00
Upside341.16%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS17.08%12.56%74.4335.6735.6533.7233.0933.8326.5323.3222.7922.26
YoY Growth--108.66%0.05%5.74%1.89%-2.19%27.50%13.78%2.32%2.38%-2.33%
Dividend Yield--2.67%1.47%2.35%2.29%1.42%1.61%0.77%0.59%0.74%1.24%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)15,646.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,699.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)11,947.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3,129.201,955.751,173.45
Cash Retained (M)11,947.0011,947.0011,947.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-3,129.20-1,955.75-1,173.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)8,817.809,991.2510,773.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)53.7453.7453.74
(=) Excess Retained per Share164.07185.91200.46
LTM Dividend per Share68.8368.8368.83
(+) Excess Retained per Share164.07185.91200.46
(=) Adjusted Dividend232.90254.73269.29
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate3.70%4.70%5.70%
Fair Value$9,236.04$16,514.78$46,285.02
Upside / Downside224.19%479.67%1,524.61%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)15,646.0016,381.6917,151.9717,958.4718,802.8919,687.0120,277.62
Payout Ratio23.64%36.91%50.19%63.46%76.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,699.006,047.058,607.7311,395.8514,427.1517,718.3118,756.80

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate3.70%4.70%5.70%
Year 1 PV (M)5,633.435,687.755,742.07
Year 2 PV (M)7,470.467,615.237,761.38
Year 3 PV (M)9,213.719,482.839,757.14
Year 4 PV (M)10,866.6911,291.9411,729.56
Year 5 PV (M)12,432.7813,043.9013,678.82
PV of Terminal Value (M)396,781.76416,285.14436,548.03
Equity Value (M)442,398.83463,406.80485,217.01
Shares Outstanding (M)53.7453.7453.74
Fair Value$8,231.66$8,622.56$9,028.38
Upside / Downside188.93%202.65%216.90%

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