DDM Analysis: 688329.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$0.83 - $1.22	$1.02
Multi-Stage	$1.50 - $1.64	$1.57
Blended Fair Value	$1.29
Current Price	$21.12
Upside	-93.88%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	45.61%	0.00%	0.23	0.56	0.54	0.34	0.43	0.04	0.19	0.22	0.06	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-58.67%	4.31%	59.45%	-20.44%	1,096.68%	-81.36%	-13.12%	238.94%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.51%	2.75%	1.41%	1.17%	1.60%	0.13%	0.68%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	8.37
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	4.24
(=) Cash Retained (M)	4.13

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	1.67	1.05	0.63
Cash Retained (M)	4.13	4.13	4.13
(-) Cash Required (M)	-1.67	-1.05	-0.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)	2.46	3.09	3.51
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	77.04	77.04	77.04
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.03	0.04	0.05
LTM Dividend per Share	0.06	0.06	0.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.03	0.04	0.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.09	0.10	0.10
WACC / Discount Rate	8.25%	8.25%	8.25%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$0.83	$1.02	$1.22
Upside / Downside	-96.06%	-95.18%	-94.23%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	8.37	8.29	8.21	8.13	8.04	7.96	8.20
Payout Ratio	50.64%	58.52%	66.39%	74.26%	82.13%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	4.24	4.85	5.45	6.03	6.61	7.17	7.59

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.25%	8.25%	8.25%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	4.44	4.48	4.53
Year 2 PV (M)	4.56	4.65	4.74
Year 3 PV (M)	4.61	4.76	4.90
Year 4 PV (M)	4.62	4.81	5.01
Year 5 PV (M)	4.58	4.82	5.07
PV of Terminal Value (M)	92.48	97.30	102.31
Equity Value (M)	115.29	120.82	126.56
Shares Outstanding (M)	77.04	77.04	77.04
Fair Value	$1.50	$1.57	$1.64
Upside / Downside	-92.91%	-92.57%	-92.22%

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Sector

Suzhou Iron Technology CO.,LTD. (688329.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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