Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Primeton Information Technologies, Inc. (688118.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.37 - $3.40$2.87
Multi-Stage$3.88 - $4.25$4.06
Blended Fair Value$3.47
Current Price$29.11
Upside-88.09%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.100.000.500.310.170.000.360.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%62.85%84.69%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.40%0.00%1.89%1.48%0.80%0.00%0.84%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)31.21
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)13.77
(=) Cash Retained (M)17.44
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.243.902.34
Cash Retained (M)17.4417.4417.44
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.24-3.90-2.34
(=) Excess Retained (M)11.2013.5415.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)91.9691.9691.96
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.120.150.16
LTM Dividend per Share0.150.150.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.120.150.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.270.300.31
WACC / Discount Rate9.24%9.24%9.24%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$2.37$2.87$3.40
Upside / Downside-91.87%-90.13%-88.32%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)31.2130.9030.5930.2829.9829.6830.57
Payout Ratio44.13%53.30%62.48%71.65%80.83%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)13.7716.4719.1121.7024.2326.7128.28

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.24%9.24%9.24%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)14.9215.0815.23
Year 2 PV (M)15.6916.0216.34
Year 3 PV (M)16.1516.6517.16
Year 4 PV (M)16.3417.0217.72
Year 5 PV (M)16.3217.1718.06
PV of Terminal Value (M)277.09291.52306.55
Equity Value (M)356.53373.46391.05
Shares Outstanding (M)91.9691.9691.96
Fair Value$3.88$4.06$4.25
Upside / Downside-86.68%-86.05%-85.39%

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