Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Shenzhen JPT Opto-Electronics Co., Ltd. (688025.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$415.55 - $489.58$458.81
Multi-Stage$333.23 - $365.77$349.20
Blended Fair Value$404.01
Current Price$141.37
Upside185.78%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS67.72%45.45%0.370.290.330.160.230.030.210.020.010.06
YoY Growth--26.57%-11.71%102.03%-30.50%745.86%-86.48%827.13%113.89%-82.75%590.36%
Dividend Yield--0.64%0.58%0.63%0.34%0.66%0.07%0.35%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)233.18
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)41.21
(=) Cash Retained (M)191.98
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)46.6429.1517.49
Cash Retained (M)191.98191.98191.98
(-) Cash Required (M)-46.64-29.15-17.49
(=) Excess Retained (M)145.34162.83174.49
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)94.7294.7294.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.531.721.84
LTM Dividend per Share0.440.440.44
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.531.721.84
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.972.152.28
WACC / Discount Rate-1.09%-1.09%-1.09%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$415.55$458.81$489.58
Upside / Downside193.94%224.55%246.31%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)233.18248.34264.48281.67299.98319.48329.07
Payout Ratio17.67%32.14%46.60%61.07%75.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)41.2179.81123.26172.01226.59287.53304.39

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-1.09%-1.09%-1.09%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)79.9380.6981.45
Year 2 PV (M)123.63125.99128.36
Year 3 PV (M)172.80177.76182.81
Year 4 PV (M)227.97236.74245.75
Year 5 PV (M)289.72303.72318.25
PV of Terminal Value (M)30,670.5432,151.9333,690.03
Equity Value (M)31,564.5933,076.8234,646.65
Shares Outstanding (M)94.7294.7294.72
Fair Value$333.23$349.20$365.77
Upside / Downside135.72%147.01%158.73%

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