Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Oki Electric Industry Co., Ltd. (6703.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Communication EquipmentSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$894.29 - $1,300.72$1,091.14
Multi-Stage$2,108.16 - $2,323.89$2,213.87
Blended Fair Value$1,652.51
Current Price$1,614.00
Upside2.39%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-9.70%-6.22%29.8219.9029.8319.9049.6849.6629.9949.8449.7849.74
YoY Growth--49.83%-33.28%49.88%-59.94%0.02%65.59%-39.82%0.12%0.07%-12.26%
Dividend Yield--1.85%1.92%3.32%2.69%4.88%4.78%2.21%4.02%3.13%3.66%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)10,686.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,882.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)6,804.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,137.201,335.75801.45
Cash Retained (M)6,804.006,804.006,804.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,137.20-1,335.75-801.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)4,666.805,468.256,002.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)86.7286.7286.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share53.8163.0569.22
LTM Dividend per Share44.7644.7644.76
(+) Excess Retained per Share53.8163.0569.22
(=) Adjusted Dividend98.58107.82113.98
WACC / Discount Rate6.85%6.85%6.85%
Growth Rate-3.76%-2.76%-1.76%
Fair Value$894.29$1,091.14$1,300.72
Upside / Downside-44.59%-32.40%-19.41%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)10,686.0010,391.4910,105.109,826.619,555.799,292.439,571.20
Payout Ratio36.33%47.06%57.80%68.53%79.27%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,882.004,890.485,840.426,734.297,574.458,363.198,853.36

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.85%6.85%6.85%
Growth Rate-3.76%-2.76%-1.76%
Year 1 PV (M)4,529.774,576.844,623.90
Year 2 PV (M)5,010.655,115.315,221.06
Year 3 PV (M)5,351.385,519.935,691.98
Year 4 PV (M)5,575.075,810.416,053.12
Year 5 PV (M)5,701.586,004.016,319.13
PV of Terminal Value (M)156,657.07164,966.50173,624.84
Equity Value (M)182,825.52191,992.99201,534.03
Shares Outstanding (M)86.7286.7286.72
Fair Value$2,108.16$2,213.87$2,323.89
Upside / Downside30.62%37.17%43.98%

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