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Trusval Technology Co., Ltd. (6667.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,037.01 - $2,540.26$2,380.59
Multi-Stage$377.03 - $412.26$394.32
Blended Fair Value$1,387.46
Current Price$273.00
Upside408.23%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS24.34%0.00%6.134.022.481.401.492.060.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--52.36%62.34%77.11%-5.87%-27.94%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.33%2.37%3.64%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)603.25
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)394.83
(=) Cash Retained (M)208.42
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)120.6575.4145.24
Cash Retained (M)208.42208.42208.42
(-) Cash Required (M)-120.65-75.41-45.24
(=) Excess Retained (M)87.77133.01163.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)47.2347.2347.23
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.862.823.46
LTM Dividend per Share8.368.368.36
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.862.823.46
(=) Adjusted Dividend10.2211.1811.82
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,037.01$2,380.59$2,540.26
Upside / Downside279.86%772.01%830.50%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)603.25642.46684.22728.69776.06826.50851.30
Payout Ratio65.45%70.36%75.27%80.18%85.09%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)394.83452.04515.01584.27660.35743.85787.45

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)420.31424.29428.27
Year 2 PV (M)445.25453.73462.29
Year 3 PV (M)469.66483.15496.89
Year 4 PV (M)493.56512.54532.07
Year 5 PV (M)516.95541.92567.84
PV of Terminal Value (M)15,460.7716,207.5316,982.87
Equity Value (M)17,806.5018,623.1519,470.22
Shares Outstanding (M)47.2347.2347.23
Fair Value$377.03$394.32$412.26
Upside / Downside38.11%44.44%51.01%

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