Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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KITO Corporation (6409.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5,745.15 - $24,048.63$9,900.64
Multi-Stage$4,212.89 - $4,617.53$4,411.45
Blended Fair Value$7,156.05
Current Price$2,718.00
Upside163.28%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2022202120202019201820172016201520142013
DPS4.75%12.23%31.1527.9737.1529.3722.3124.7026.3324.7812.269.79
YoY Growth--11.40%-24.72%26.49%31.63%-9.68%-6.20%6.28%102.17%25.19%-0.39%
Dividend Yield--1.18%1.67%2.75%1.71%1.05%2.15%3.26%2.08%1.00%1.22%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5,041.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)246.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)4,795.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,008.20630.13378.08
Cash Retained (M)4,795.004,795.004,795.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,008.20-630.13-378.08
(=) Excess Retained (M)3,786.804,164.884,416.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)26.3526.3526.35
(=) Excess Retained per Share143.69158.04167.60
LTM Dividend per Share9.339.339.33
(+) Excess Retained per Share143.69158.04167.60
(=) Adjusted Dividend153.03167.38176.94
WACC / Discount Rate7.29%7.29%7.29%
Growth Rate4.51%5.51%6.51%
Fair Value$5,745.15$9,900.64$24,048.63
Upside / Downside111.37%264.26%784.79%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5,041.005,318.525,611.325,920.246,246.176,590.046,787.74
Payout Ratio4.88%21.90%38.93%55.95%72.98%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)246.001,164.972,184.383,312.494,558.215,931.046,278.66

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.29%7.29%7.29%
Growth Rate4.51%5.51%6.51%
Year 1 PV (M)1,075.531,085.821,096.12
Year 2 PV (M)1,861.851,897.661,933.80
Year 3 PV (M)2,606.652,682.202,759.19
Year 4 PV (M)3,311.543,440.133,572.42
Year 5 PV (M)3,978.114,172.114,373.62
PV of Terminal Value (M)98,189.40102,977.99107,951.61
Equity Value (M)111,023.08116,255.90121,686.75
Shares Outstanding (M)26.3526.3526.35
Fair Value$4,212.89$4,411.45$4,617.53
Upside / Downside55.00%62.31%69.89%

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