Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Fuji Die Co.,Ltd. (6167.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Tools & AccessoriesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$220.63 - $345.00$277.88
Multi-Stage$509.66 - $560.43$534.55
Blended Fair Value$406.22
Current Price$725.00
Upside-43.97%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS5.72%11.63%31.8731.8721.8721.8724.0824.1323.0822.1222.1219.31
YoY Growth--0.00%45.75%0.00%-9.19%-0.21%4.58%4.32%0.00%14.58%81.99%
Dividend Yield--4.40%3.71%3.29%3.39%3.79%3.68%3.78%2.59%2.96%3.86%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)455.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)317.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)138.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)91.0056.8834.13
Cash Retained (M)138.00138.00138.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-91.00-56.88-34.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)47.0081.13103.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)19.8919.8919.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.364.085.22
LTM Dividend per Share15.9415.9415.94
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.364.085.22
(=) Adjusted Dividend18.3020.0221.16
WACC / Discount Rate6.36%6.36%6.36%
Growth Rate-1.79%-0.79%0.21%
Fair Value$220.63$277.88$345.00
Upside / Downside-69.57%-61.67%-52.41%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)455.00451.40447.84444.30440.79437.30450.42
Payout Ratio69.67%73.74%77.80%81.87%85.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)317.00332.85348.43363.74378.79393.57416.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.36%6.36%6.36%
Growth Rate-1.79%-0.79%0.21%
Year 1 PV (M)309.80312.96316.11
Year 2 PV (M)301.85308.03314.27
Year 3 PV (M)293.30302.35311.58
Year 4 PV (M)284.28296.04308.16
Year 5 PV (M)274.93289.22304.09
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,673.269,123.919,593.10
Equity Value (M)10,137.4210,632.5011,147.31
Shares Outstanding (M)19.8919.8919.89
Fair Value$509.66$534.55$560.43
Upside / Downside-29.70%-26.27%-22.70%

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