Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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BitStrat Holdings Limited (6113.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty Business ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.00 - $1.92$1.37
Multi-Stage$1.60 - $1.75$1.67
Blended Fair Value$1.52
Current Price$3.66
Upside-58.41%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-8.82%4.85%0.050.040.060.050.020.090.000.030.030.04
YoY Growth--42.19%-30.91%3.93%119.75%-71.91%0.00%-100.00%5.69%-24.80%20.41%
Dividend Yield--9.77%6.58%12.30%7.81%4.42%14.84%0.00%4.63%3.67%5.09%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)26.01
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)12.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)14.01
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5.203.251.95
Cash Retained (M)14.0114.0114.01
(-) Cash Required (M)-5.20-3.25-1.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)8.8110.7612.06
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)400.00400.00400.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.020.030.03
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.020.030.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.050.060.06
WACC / Discount Rate6.45%6.45%6.45%
Growth Rate1.21%2.21%3.21%
Fair Value$1.00$1.37$1.92
Upside / Downside-72.55%-62.53%-47.65%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)26.0126.5927.1727.7728.3929.0129.88
Payout Ratio46.13%54.91%63.68%72.45%81.23%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)12.0014.6017.3020.1223.0626.1127.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.45%6.45%6.45%
Growth Rate1.21%2.21%3.21%
Year 1 PV (M)13.5813.7113.85
Year 2 PV (M)14.9715.2715.57
Year 3 PV (M)16.2016.6817.18
Year 4 PV (M)17.2717.9618.67
Year 5 PV (M)18.1919.1020.06
PV of Terminal Value (M)558.26586.39615.64
Equity Value (M)638.46669.12700.97
Shares Outstanding (M)400.00400.00400.00
Fair Value$1.60$1.67$1.75
Upside / Downside-56.39%-54.30%-52.12%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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