Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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OmniVision Integrated Circuits Group, Inc. (603501.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$271.19 - $681.84$638.98
Multi-Stage$96.70 - $105.93$101.23
Blended Fair Value$370.10
Current Price$151.17
Upside144.83%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS15.59%39.14%0.540.470.680.470.340.260.120.030.000.03
YoY Growth--15.59%-30.87%44.80%37.78%29.47%127.29%353.40%0.00%-100.00%70.88%
Dividend Yield--0.41%0.47%0.74%0.33%0.18%0.23%0.29%0.08%0.00%0.45%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,158.16
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)428.51
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,729.65
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)831.63519.77311.86
Cash Retained (M)3,729.653,729.653,729.65
(-) Cash Required (M)-831.63-519.77-311.86
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,898.013,209.883,417.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,212.831,212.831,212.83
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.392.652.82
LTM Dividend per Share0.350.350.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.392.652.82
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.743.003.17
WACC / Discount Rate6.57%6.57%6.57%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$271.19$638.98$681.84
Upside / Downside79.39%322.69%351.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,158.164,428.444,716.295,022.845,349.335,697.045,867.95
Payout Ratio10.31%26.24%42.18%58.12%74.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)428.511,162.211,989.482,919.383,961.775,127.335,427.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.57%6.57%6.57%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,080.351,090.591,100.83
Year 2 PV (M)1,719.091,751.841,784.89
Year 3 PV (M)2,344.942,412.252,480.84
Year 4 PV (M)2,958.083,071.843,188.85
Year 5 PV (M)3,558.703,730.593,909.05
PV of Terminal Value (M)105,614.43110,715.65116,012.10
Equity Value (M)117,275.59122,772.76128,476.57
Shares Outstanding (M)1,212.831,212.831,212.83
Fair Value$96.70$101.23$105.93
Upside / Downside-36.04%-33.04%-29.93%

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