Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Getein Biotech, Inc (603387.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - DevicesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$16.45 - $83.12$34.04
Multi-Stage$9.01 - $9.86$9.43
Blended Fair Value$21.73
Current Price$7.97
Upside172.69%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.79%25.81%0.220.410.250.190.210.150.120.120.120.02
YoY Growth---45.29%64.71%32.21%-10.55%36.57%27.53%-0.33%1.22%531.90%-16.06%
Dividend Yield--2.65%4.32%1.84%1.28%1.20%0.94%0.85%0.79%1.42%0.23%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)208.76
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)55.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)153.77
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)41.7526.1015.66
Cash Retained (M)153.77153.77153.77
(-) Cash Required (M)-41.75-26.10-15.66
(=) Excess Retained (M)112.01127.67138.11
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)499.49499.49499.49
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.220.260.28
LTM Dividend per Share0.110.110.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.220.260.28
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.330.370.39
WACC / Discount Rate7.64%7.64%7.64%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$16.45$34.04$83.12
Upside / Downside106.41%327.08%942.90%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)208.76222.33236.78252.17268.56286.02294.60
Payout Ratio26.34%39.07%51.81%64.54%77.27%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)55.0086.88122.67162.75207.52257.42272.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.64%7.64%7.64%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)79.9580.7181.46
Year 2 PV (M)103.89105.86107.86
Year 3 PV (M)126.84130.48134.19
Year 4 PV (M)148.83154.56160.44
Year 5 PV (M)169.90178.11186.63
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,872.784,059.844,254.06
Equity Value (M)4,502.194,709.564,924.65
Shares Outstanding (M)499.49499.49499.49
Fair Value$9.01$9.43$9.86
Upside / Downside13.09%18.30%23.71%

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