Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Cashway Fintech Co.,Ltd. (603106.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Business Equipment & SuppliesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.29 - $7.34$4.75
Multi-Stage$14.16 - $15.65$14.89
Blended Fair Value$9.82
Current Price$10.23
Upside-3.99%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.050.000.040.010.020.020.03
YoY Growth---100.00%13.10%-97.10%0.00%-100.00%163.87%-29.27%-21.92%-16.11%-42.50%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.02%0.02%0.69%0.00%0.67%0.15%0.16%0.29%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)93.73
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)15.62
(=) Cash Retained (M)78.11
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)18.7511.727.03
Cash Retained (M)78.1178.1178.11
(-) Cash Required (M)-18.75-11.72-7.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)59.3766.4071.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)527.64527.64527.64
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.110.130.13
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.110.130.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.140.160.16
WACC / Discount Rate2.24%2.24%2.24%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$3.29$4.75$7.34
Upside / Downside-67.88%-53.54%-28.22%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)93.7392.7991.8690.9490.0389.1391.81
Payout Ratio16.66%31.33%46.00%60.66%75.33%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)15.6229.0742.2555.1767.8280.2284.92

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.24%2.24%2.24%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)28.1528.4328.72
Year 2 PV (M)39.6140.4241.24
Year 3 PV (M)50.0851.6353.21
Year 4 PV (M)59.6162.0864.63
Year 5 PV (M)68.2671.8275.52
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,226.387,602.677,994.48
Equity Value (M)7,472.087,857.058,257.80
Shares Outstanding (M)527.64527.64527.64
Fair Value$14.16$14.89$15.65
Upside / Downside38.43%45.56%52.99%

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