Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Jiangsu JIXIN Wind Energy Technology Co., Ltd. (601218.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.28 - $2.16$1.66
Multi-Stage$7.84 - $8.69$8.26
Blended Fair Value$4.96
Current Price$5.61
Upside-11.56%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS13.84%8.52%0.110.040.060.220.050.060.050.000.050.07
YoY Growth--157.98%-28.99%-71.85%305.02%-8.48%20.10%0.00%-100.00%-38.34%44.76%
Dividend Yield--3.60%1.37%1.56%4.10%1.24%2.17%1.59%0.00%0.86%1.38%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)108.18
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)13.29
(=) Cash Retained (M)94.90
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)21.6413.528.11
Cash Retained (M)94.9094.9094.90
(-) Cash Required (M)-21.64-13.52-8.11
(=) Excess Retained (M)73.2681.3886.79
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)970.54970.54970.54
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.080.080.09
LTM Dividend per Share0.010.010.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.080.080.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.090.100.10
WACC / Discount Rate1.68%1.68%1.68%
Growth Rate-4.95%-3.95%-2.95%
Fair Value$1.28$1.66$2.16
Upside / Downside-77.20%-70.33%-61.45%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)108.18103.9299.8295.8892.1088.4691.12
Payout Ratio12.28%27.82%43.37%58.91%74.46%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)13.2928.9143.2956.4868.5779.6284.28

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.68%1.68%1.68%
Growth Rate-4.95%-3.95%-2.95%
Year 1 PV (M)28.1428.4428.73
Year 2 PV (M)41.0041.8742.74
Year 3 PV (M)52.0753.7355.42
Year 4 PV (M)61.5164.1466.86
Year 5 PV (M)69.5173.2477.14
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,358.427,753.728,165.82
Equity Value (M)7,610.668,015.148,436.71
Shares Outstanding (M)970.54970.54970.54
Fair Value$7.84$8.26$8.69
Upside / Downside39.78%47.21%54.95%

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