Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Anhui Xinke New Materials Co.,Ltd (600255.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: CopperSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.12 - $0.17$0.15
Multi-Stage$0.26 - $0.29$0.28
Blended Fair Value$0.21
Current Price$4.18
Upside-94.94%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-10.30%-6.85%0.020.020.010.010.010.030.060.060.030.02
YoY Growth---10.22%24.97%15.35%-10.89%-49.66%-53.33%4.68%77.62%29.33%-24.52%
Dividend Yield--0.48%0.92%0.58%0.53%0.61%2.43%2.31%1.81%0.65%0.58%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)42.12
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)26.21
(=) Cash Retained (M)15.91
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8.425.263.16
Cash Retained (M)15.9115.9115.91
(-) Cash Required (M)-8.42-5.26-3.16
(=) Excess Retained (M)7.4910.6512.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,801.221,801.221,801.22
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.010.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.010.010.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.010.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.020.020.02
WACC / Discount Rate8.40%8.40%8.40%
Growth Rate-5.90%-4.90%-3.90%
Fair Value$0.12$0.15$0.17
Upside / Downside-97.05%-96.50%-95.96%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)42.1240.0638.0936.2334.4532.7633.75
Payout Ratio62.22%67.78%73.33%78.89%84.44%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)26.2127.1527.9328.5829.0929.4931.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.40%8.40%8.40%
Growth Rate-5.90%-4.90%-3.90%
Year 1 PV (M)24.7825.0525.31
Year 2 PV (M)23.2823.7724.28
Year 3 PV (M)21.7422.4423.15
Year 4 PV (M)20.2021.0721.97
Year 5 PV (M)18.6919.7020.76
PV of Terminal Value (M)366.66386.56407.31
Equity Value (M)475.34498.59522.79
Shares Outstanding (M)1,801.221,801.221,801.22
Fair Value$0.26$0.28$0.29
Upside / Downside-93.69%-93.38%-93.06%

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