Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Bintulu Port Holdings Berhad (5032.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Marine ShippingSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.66 - $4.08$3.32
Multi-Stage$6.09 - $6.71$6.40
Blended Fair Value$4.86
Current Price$5.85
Upside-16.94%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-6.30%-6.52%0.130.120.140.110.100.180.180.210.240.25
YoY Growth--8.33%-14.29%27.27%10.00%-44.44%0.00%-14.29%-12.50%-4.00%-1.96%
Dividend Yield--2.20%2.08%2.79%2.12%2.39%4.70%3.79%3.56%3.90%3.67%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)136.22
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)69.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)67.22
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)27.2417.0310.22
Cash Retained (M)67.2267.2267.22
(-) Cash Required (M)-27.24-17.03-10.22
(=) Excess Retained (M)39.9750.1957.00
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)459.97459.97459.97
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.090.110.12
LTM Dividend per Share0.150.150.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.090.110.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.240.260.27
WACC / Discount Rate6.51%6.51%6.51%
Growth Rate-2.20%-1.20%-0.20%
Fair Value$2.66$3.32$4.08
Upside / Downside-54.50%-43.20%-30.31%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)136.22134.59132.97131.38129.81128.25132.10
Payout Ratio50.65%58.52%66.39%74.26%82.13%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)69.0078.7688.2897.56106.61115.43122.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.51%6.51%6.51%
Growth Rate-2.20%-1.20%-0.20%
Year 1 PV (M)73.2073.9574.70
Year 2 PV (M)76.2677.8379.41
Year 3 PV (M)78.3380.7583.23
Year 4 PV (M)79.5482.8586.25
Year 5 PV (M)80.0484.2288.57
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,415.862,541.922,673.19
Equity Value (M)2,803.242,941.523,085.35
Shares Outstanding (M)459.97459.97459.97
Fair Value$6.09$6.40$6.71
Upside / Downside4.18%9.32%14.66%

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