Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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LY Corporation (4689.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Internet Content & InformationSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,325.34 - $5,730.20$3,216.11
Multi-Stage$667.60 - $730.50$698.47
Blended Fair Value$1,957.29
Current Price$476.10
Upside311.11%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-1.52%5.17%5.885.906.145.955.946.347.117.117.107.10
YoY Growth---0.38%-3.84%3.14%0.09%-6.32%-10.75%0.05%0.05%0.03%99.96%
Dividend Yield--1.11%1.56%1.77%1.50%1.07%1.21%2.24%1.93%1.45%1.57%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)204,524.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)49,910.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)154,614.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)40,904.8025,565.5015,339.30
Cash Retained (M)154,614.00154,614.00154,614.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-40,904.80-25,565.50-15,339.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)113,709.20129,048.50139,274.70
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7,098.317,098.317,098.31
(=) Excess Retained per Share16.0218.1819.62
LTM Dividend per Share7.037.037.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share16.0218.1819.62
(=) Adjusted Dividend23.0525.2126.65
WACC / Discount Rate7.33%7.33%7.33%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,325.34$3,216.11$5,730.20
Upside / Downside178.37%575.51%1,103.57%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)204,524.00217,818.06231,976.23247,054.69263,113.24280,215.60288,622.07
Payout Ratio24.40%37.52%50.64%63.76%76.88%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)49,910.0081,730.57117,476.95157,525.04202,283.04252,194.04266,975.42

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.33%7.33%7.33%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)75,430.4376,145.4176,860.39
Year 2 PV (M)100,063.74101,969.67103,893.58
Year 3 PV (M)123,832.80127,387.60131,009.78
Year 4 PV (M)146,759.97152,403.94158,209.16
Year 5 PV (M)168,867.08177,023.43185,491.93
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,123,877.934,323,062.774,529,870.89
Equity Value (M)4,738,831.954,957,992.825,185,335.74
Shares Outstanding (M)7,098.317,098.317,098.31
Fair Value$667.60$698.47$730.50
Upside / Downside40.22%46.71%53.43%

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