Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PARK24 Co., Ltd. (4666.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - Infrastructure OperationsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,677.28 - $4,108.95$2,501.37
Multi-Stage$3,325.41 - $3,661.31$3,490.10
Blended Fair Value$2,995.74
Current Price$2,023.50
Upside48.05%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.010.040.0259.2359.2456.2552.0943.8139.70
YoY Growth---100.00%-85.71%133.33%-99.97%-0.02%5.31%7.99%18.89%10.37%25.51%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%2.90%2.15%2.17%1.91%1.41%1.17%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)14,597.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)853.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)13,744.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,919.401,824.631,094.78
Cash Retained (M)13,744.0013,744.0013,744.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,919.40-1,824.63-1,094.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)10,824.6011,919.3812,649.23
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)182.66182.66182.66
(=) Excess Retained per Share59.2665.2569.25
LTM Dividend per Share4.674.674.67
(+) Excess Retained per Share59.2665.2569.25
(=) Adjusted Dividend63.9369.9273.92
WACC / Discount Rate5.02%5.02%5.02%
Growth Rate1.16%2.16%3.16%
Fair Value$1,677.28$2,501.37$4,108.95
Upside / Downside-17.11%23.62%103.06%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)14,597.0014,912.6915,235.2015,564.6915,901.3016,245.2016,732.56
Payout Ratio5.84%22.67%39.51%56.34%73.17%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)853.003,381.446,018.858,768.7511,634.7814,620.6815,477.61

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.02%5.02%5.02%
Growth Rate1.16%2.16%3.16%
Year 1 PV (M)3,188.333,219.853,251.37
Year 2 PV (M)5,351.035,457.345,564.70
Year 3 PV (M)7,350.617,570.767,795.26
Year 4 PV (M)9,196.159,565.199,945.23
Year 5 PV (M)10,896.2511,445.5512,016.79
PV of Terminal Value (M)571,435.15600,242.45630,200.00
Equity Value (M)607,417.52637,501.15668,773.35
Shares Outstanding (M)182.66182.66182.66
Fair Value$3,325.41$3,490.10$3,661.31
Upside / Downside64.34%72.48%80.94%

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