Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Asia Vital Components Co., Ltd. (3017.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5,045.76 - $5,944.76$5,571.11
Multi-Stage$3,630.46 - $3,984.59$3,804.22
Blended Fair Value$4,687.66
Current Price$743.00
Upside530.91%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS50.00%34.23%6.764.823.832.491.160.891.161.070.890.89
YoY Growth--40.12%26.05%53.57%115.38%30.00%-23.08%8.33%20.00%0.00%150.00%
Dividend Yield--1.49%0.87%2.71%2.16%1.72%2.99%3.35%3.61%3.44%3.20%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)11,872.26
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,683.17
(=) Cash Retained (M)9,189.09
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,374.451,484.03890.42
Cash Retained (M)9,189.099,189.099,189.09
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,374.45-1,484.03-890.42
(=) Excess Retained (M)6,814.647,705.058,298.67
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)397.17397.17397.17
(=) Excess Retained per Share17.1619.4020.89
LTM Dividend per Share6.766.766.76
(+) Excess Retained per Share17.1619.4020.89
(=) Adjusted Dividend23.9126.1627.65
WACC / Discount Rate1.12%1.12%1.12%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$5,045.76$5,571.11$5,944.76
Upside / Downside579.11%649.81%700.10%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)11,872.2612,643.9513,465.8114,341.0915,273.2616,266.0216,754.00
Payout Ratio22.60%36.08%49.56%63.04%76.52%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,683.174,561.976,673.689,040.6411,687.1114,639.4215,497.45

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.12%1.12%1.12%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)4,469.284,511.644,554.00
Year 2 PV (M)6,405.236,527.236,650.39
Year 3 PV (M)8,500.678,744.698,993.34
Year 4 PV (M)10,765.7811,179.8011,605.65
Year 5 PV (M)13,211.3413,849.4514,511.98
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,398,566.671,466,117.961,536,254.60
Equity Value (M)1,441,918.961,510,930.771,582,569.96
Shares Outstanding (M)397.17397.17397.17
Fair Value$3,630.46$3,804.22$3,984.59
Upside / Downside388.62%412.01%436.28%

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