Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Sinomag Technology Co., Ltd. (300835.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$209.04 - $246.29$230.81
Multi-Stage$138.96 - $152.51$145.61
Blended Fair Value$188.21
Current Price$64.90
Upside190.00%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS43.64%8.29%0.360.310.200.160.350.060.060.070.150.13
YoY Growth--15.87%53.47%24.03%-53.00%489.91%1.30%-11.09%-57.02%15.26%-18.72%
Dividend Yield--0.95%1.26%0.57%0.43%1.13%0.35%0.34%0.38%0.89%0.77%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)144.96
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)40.56
(=) Cash Retained (M)104.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)28.9918.1210.87
Cash Retained (M)104.40104.40104.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-28.99-18.12-10.87
(=) Excess Retained (M)75.4186.2893.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)117.05117.05117.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.640.740.80
LTM Dividend per Share0.350.350.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.640.740.80
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.991.081.15
WACC / Discount Rate2.76%2.76%2.76%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$209.04$230.81$246.29
Upside / Downside222.10%255.64%279.49%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)144.96154.38164.41175.10186.48198.60204.56
Payout Ratio27.98%40.38%52.79%65.19%77.60%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)40.5662.3486.79114.15144.70178.74189.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.76%2.76%2.76%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)60.1060.6761.24
Year 2 PV (M)80.6582.1883.73
Year 3 PV (M)102.25105.18108.17
Year 4 PV (M)124.94129.75134.69
Year 5 PV (M)148.77155.96163.42
PV of Terminal Value (M)15,749.0616,509.7417,299.54
Equity Value (M)16,265.7617,043.4817,850.79
Shares Outstanding (M)117.05117.05117.05
Fair Value$138.96$145.61$152.51
Upside / Downside114.12%124.36%134.99%

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