Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Sineng Electric Co.,Ltd. (300827.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$47.74 - $213.72$111.28
Multi-Stage$24.21 - $26.51$25.34
Blended Fair Value$68.31
Current Price$36.62
Upside86.53%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS37.85%41.18%0.190.110.070.060.030.040.030.050.020.04
YoY Growth--66.15%64.20%21.22%83.61%-18.02%11.23%-27.94%133.38%-54.82%647.90%
Dividend Yield--0.81%0.42%0.24%0.17%0.20%0.39%0.35%0.49%0.21%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)427.81
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)43.13
(=) Cash Retained (M)384.68
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)85.5653.4832.09
Cash Retained (M)384.68384.68384.68
(-) Cash Required (M)-85.56-53.48-32.09
(=) Excess Retained (M)299.12331.21352.60
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)398.10398.10398.10
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.750.830.89
LTM Dividend per Share0.110.110.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.750.830.89
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.860.940.99
WACC / Discount Rate7.40%7.40%7.40%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$47.74$111.28$213.72
Upside / Downside30.36%203.88%483.61%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)427.81455.62485.23516.77550.36586.14603.72
Payout Ratio10.08%26.06%42.05%58.03%74.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)43.13118.76204.03299.89407.36527.52558.44

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.40%7.40%7.40%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)109.53110.57111.61
Year 2 PV (M)173.58176.89180.22
Year 3 PV (M)235.32242.08248.96
Year 4 PV (M)294.83306.17317.83
Year 5 PV (M)352.16369.17386.83
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,472.798,882.039,306.93
Equity Value (M)9,638.2110,086.9010,552.38
Shares Outstanding (M)398.10398.10398.10
Fair Value$24.21$25.34$26.51
Upside / Downside-33.89%-30.81%-27.62%

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