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Definitive Analysis

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Suzhou Maxwell Technologies Co., Ltd. (300751.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$387.98 - $592.80$555.54
Multi-Stage$96.98 - $106.21$101.51
Blended Fair Value$328.52
Current Price$99.35
Upside230.67%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS60.50%202.83%1.601.030.590.310.220.150.000.100.000.00
YoY Growth--56.05%73.94%89.27%40.49%47.56%0.00%-100.00%0.00%-100.00%4,964.38%
Dividend Yield--1.95%0.94%0.31%0.15%0.19%0.48%0.00%0.59%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)830.62
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)229.42
(=) Cash Retained (M)601.20
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)166.12103.8362.30
Cash Retained (M)601.20601.20601.20
(-) Cash Required (M)-166.12-103.83-62.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)435.08497.37538.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)278.66278.66278.66
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.561.781.93
LTM Dividend per Share0.820.820.82
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.561.781.93
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.382.612.76
WACC / Discount Rate6.15%6.15%6.15%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$387.98$555.54$592.80
Upside / Downside290.52%459.17%496.68%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)830.62884.61942.111,003.351,068.561,138.021,172.16
Payout Ratio27.62%40.10%52.57%65.05%77.52%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)229.42354.70495.29652.66828.391,024.221,084.25

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.15%6.15%6.15%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)331.01334.15337.29
Year 2 PV (M)431.36439.57447.87
Year 3 PV (M)530.46545.69561.21
Year 4 PV (M)628.34652.50677.36
Year 5 PV (M)725.00760.02796.38
PV of Terminal Value (M)24,377.1725,554.6026,777.08
Equity Value (M)27,023.3428,286.5329,597.18
Shares Outstanding (M)278.66278.66278.66
Fair Value$96.98$101.51$106.21
Upside / Downside-2.39%2.17%6.91%

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