Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Profit Cultural and Creative Group Co., Ltd. (300640.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Household & Personal ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.29 - $0.43$0.36
Multi-Stage$0.48 - $0.52$0.50
Blended Fair Value$0.43
Current Price$6.43
Upside-93.34%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-5.02%0.60%0.070.130.060.060.130.090.060.090.100.05
YoY Growth---42.45%121.40%0.59%-55.39%35.16%47.01%-28.57%-11.11%96.63%-25.14%
Dividend Yield--1.36%2.45%0.93%0.85%1.86%1.29%0.78%1.02%2.02%1.02%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)12.07
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7.56
(=) Cash Retained (M)4.51
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2.411.510.91
Cash Retained (M)4.514.514.51
(-) Cash Required (M)-2.41-1.51-0.91
(=) Excess Retained (M)2.103.003.60
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)311.34311.34311.34
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.010.010.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.010.010.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.030.030.04
WACC / Discount Rate9.09%9.09%9.09%
Growth Rate-1.40%-0.40%0.60%
Fair Value$0.29$0.36$0.43
Upside / Downside-95.47%-94.46%-93.39%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)12.0712.0211.9711.9311.8811.8312.19
Payout Ratio62.64%68.11%73.59%79.06%84.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7.568.198.819.4310.0410.6511.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.09%9.09%9.09%
Growth Rate-1.40%-0.40%0.60%
Year 1 PV (M)7.437.517.58
Year 2 PV (M)7.267.407.55
Year 3 PV (M)7.057.267.48
Year 4 PV (M)6.817.097.38
Year 5 PV (M)6.556.897.25
PV of Terminal Value (M)113.93119.83125.96
Equity Value (M)149.03155.98163.21
Shares Outstanding (M)311.34311.34311.34
Fair Value$0.48$0.50$0.52
Upside / Downside-92.56%-92.21%-91.85%

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