Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Fujian Yuanli Active Carbon Co.,Ltd. (300174.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$83.26 - $135.32$126.82
Multi-Stage$21.70 - $23.77$22.72
Blended Fair Value$74.77
Current Price$16.65
Upside349.04%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS10.11%6.43%0.120.070.090.090.050.070.100.110.090.07
YoY Growth--63.84%-14.80%0.23%77.62%-34.86%-23.77%-13.21%19.63%30.74%11.31%
Dividend Yield--0.77%0.46%0.51%0.64%0.30%0.47%0.52%0.37%0.30%0.60%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)245.01
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)42.43
(=) Cash Retained (M)202.59
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)49.0030.6318.38
Cash Retained (M)202.59202.59202.59
(-) Cash Required (M)-49.00-30.63-18.38
(=) Excess Retained (M)153.58171.96184.21
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)360.08360.08360.08
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.430.480.51
LTM Dividend per Share0.120.120.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.430.480.51
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.540.600.63
WACC / Discount Rate6.19%6.19%6.19%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$83.26$126.82$135.32
Upside / Downside400.07%661.65%712.74%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)245.01260.94277.90295.96315.20335.69345.76
Payout Ratio17.32%31.85%46.39%60.93%75.46%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)42.4383.11128.91180.32237.86302.12319.83

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.19%6.19%6.19%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)77.5478.2779.01
Year 2 PV (M)112.19114.32116.48
Year 3 PV (M)146.39150.59154.87
Year 4 PV (M)180.14187.06194.19
Year 5 PV (M)213.44223.75234.45
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,083.707,425.857,781.09
Equity Value (M)7,813.398,179.848,560.09
Shares Outstanding (M)360.08360.08360.08
Fair Value$21.70$22.72$23.77
Upside / Downside30.32%36.44%42.78%

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