Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Netmarble Corporation (251270.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electronic Gaming & MultimediaSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11,395.80 - $17,372.22$14,195.79
Multi-Stage$24,047.08 - $26,466.03$25,232.81
Blended Fair Value$19,714.30
Current Price$61,700.00
Upside-68.05%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-7.46%0.00%1.0625.97627.151,876.920.001.57365.880.0046.1737.41
YoY Growth---95.90%-95.86%-66.59%0.00%-100.00%-99.57%0.00%-100.00%23.41%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.04%0.95%1.68%0.00%0.00%0.30%0.00%0.03%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)107,560.13
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)41,257.49
(=) Cash Retained (M)66,302.64
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)21,512.0313,445.028,067.01
Cash Retained (M)66,302.6466,302.6466,302.64
(-) Cash Required (M)-21,512.03-13,445.02-8,067.01
(=) Excess Retained (M)44,790.6152,857.6258,235.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)83.6483.6483.64
(=) Excess Retained per Share535.55632.00696.30
LTM Dividend per Share493.30493.30493.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share535.55632.00696.30
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,028.851,125.301,189.61
WACC / Discount Rate6.85%6.85%6.85%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$11,395.80$14,195.79$17,372.22
Upside / Downside-81.53%-76.99%-71.84%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)107,560.13106,484.53105,419.68104,365.49103,321.83102,288.61105,357.27
Payout Ratio38.36%48.69%59.01%69.34%79.67%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)41,257.4951,843.1562,212.9772,370.2082,318.0792,059.7597,455.48

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.85%6.85%6.85%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)48,030.4748,520.5849,010.68
Year 2 PV (M)53,398.8454,494.1855,600.63
Year 3 PV (M)57,548.7959,328.5361,144.58
Year 4 PV (M)60,645.2963,158.7665,749.55
Year 5 PV (M)62,834.3666,106.2969,513.12
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,728,725.711,818,744.471,912,474.76
Equity Value (M)2,011,183.462,110,352.792,213,493.33
Shares Outstanding (M)83.6483.6483.64
Fair Value$24,047.08$25,232.81$26,466.03
Upside / Downside-61.03%-59.10%-57.11%

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