Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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ST Pharm Co.,Ltd. (237690.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - PharmaceuticalsSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$15,824.93 - $23,889.88$19,629.19
Multi-Stage$31,577.72 - $34,761.28$33,138.24
Blended Fair Value$26,383.72
Current Price$89,500.00
Upside-70.52%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.16%0.00%471.06471.06471.060.000.00467.23467.23462.93147.5352.48
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.93%213.79%181.11%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.65%0.52%0.64%0.00%0.00%1.49%2.10%1.05%0.36%0.11%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)36,893.58
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10,076.44
(=) Cash Retained (M)26,817.13
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7,378.724,611.702,767.02
Cash Retained (M)26,817.1326,817.1326,817.13
(-) Cash Required (M)-7,378.72-4,611.70-2,767.02
(=) Excess Retained (M)19,438.4222,205.4324,050.11
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)19.9619.9619.96
(=) Excess Retained per Share973.651,112.251,204.64
LTM Dividend per Share504.72504.72504.72
(+) Excess Retained per Share973.651,112.251,204.64
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,478.371,616.961,709.36
WACC / Discount Rate7.16%7.16%7.16%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$15,824.93$19,629.19$23,889.88
Upside / Downside-82.32%-78.07%-73.31%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)36,893.5836,524.6436,159.3935,797.8035,439.8235,085.4236,137.99
Payout Ratio27.31%39.85%52.39%64.92%77.46%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10,076.4414,554.9818,942.9423,241.6827,452.5531,576.8833,427.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.16%7.16%7.16%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)13,445.8813,583.0913,720.29
Year 2 PV (M)16,166.0116,497.6116,832.58
Year 3 PV (M)18,323.1718,889.8319,468.05
Year 4 PV (M)19,993.7220,822.3721,676.51
Year 5 PV (M)21,245.0622,351.3423,503.23
PV of Terminal Value (M)541,259.61569,444.25598,790.97
Equity Value (M)630,433.46661,588.49693,991.63
Shares Outstanding (M)19.9619.9619.96
Fair Value$31,577.72$33,138.24$34,761.28
Upside / Downside-64.72%-62.97%-61.16%

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