Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Ruifeng Power Group Company Limited (2025.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.29 - $8.59$8.05
Multi-Stage$4.94 - $5.45$5.19
Blended Fair Value$6.62
Current Price$3.69
Upside79.36%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.010.020.010.020.020.000.060.000.000.00
YoY Growth---36.62%120.51%-55.77%29.95%0.00%-100.00%1,335.77%656.82%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.46%1.42%1.22%2.89%1.84%0.00%4.22%0.30%0.04%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)35.96
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)22.90
(=) Cash Retained (M)13.06
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7.194.492.70
Cash Retained (M)13.0613.0613.06
(-) Cash Required (M)-7.19-4.49-2.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)5.878.5610.36
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)800.00800.00800.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.010.010.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.010.010.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.040.040.04
WACC / Discount Rate-0.79%-0.79%-0.79%
Growth Rate1.30%2.30%3.30%
Fair Value$7.29$8.05$8.59
Upside / Downside97.43%118.08%132.79%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)35.9636.7937.6338.5039.3940.2941.50
Payout Ratio63.69%68.95%74.21%79.48%84.74%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)22.9025.3627.9330.6033.3836.2738.39

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-0.79%-0.79%-0.79%
Growth Rate1.30%2.30%3.30%
Year 1 PV (M)25.3225.5725.82
Year 2 PV (M)27.8228.3828.93
Year 3 PV (M)30.4331.3432.26
Year 4 PV (M)33.1334.4535.82
Year 5 PV (M)35.9237.7339.61
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,803.043,994.494,193.57
Equity Value (M)3,955.664,151.954,356.01
Shares Outstanding (M)800.00800.00800.00
Fair Value$4.94$5.19$5.45
Upside / Downside34.00%40.65%47.56%

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