Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Asia Cement Co.,Ltd. (183190.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Construction MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$126,867.87 - $244,018.96$228,681.50
Multi-Stage$37,657.36 - $41,246.22$39,418.70
Blended Fair Value$134,050.10
Current Price$12,270.00
Upside992.50%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.29%9.03%271.76270.21238.91134.36159.19159.19134.65134.68134.62134.62
YoY Growth--0.57%13.10%77.82%-15.60%0.00%18.23%-0.02%0.04%0.00%17.64%
Dividend Yield--2.71%2.62%2.36%0.78%1.37%3.38%1.13%1.35%1.71%1.43%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)45,002.25
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9,650.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)35,352.25
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9,000.455,625.283,375.17
Cash Retained (M)35,352.2535,352.2535,352.25
(-) Cash Required (M)-9,000.45-5,625.28-3,375.17
(=) Excess Retained (M)26,351.8029,726.9731,977.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)36.6836.6836.68
(=) Excess Retained per Share718.49810.51871.86
LTM Dividend per Share263.11263.11263.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share718.49810.51871.86
(=) Adjusted Dividend981.601,073.621,134.97
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$126,867.87$228,681.50$244,018.96
Upside / Downside933.97%1,763.74%1,888.74%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)45,002.2547,927.4051,042.6854,360.4557,893.8861,656.9863,506.69
Payout Ratio21.44%35.15%48.87%62.58%76.29%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9,650.0016,848.7324,942.5234,017.3344,166.4755,491.2858,743.69

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)15,698.9415,847.7415,996.55
Year 2 PV (M)21,654.4222,066.8822,483.23
Year 3 PV (M)27,517.5428,307.4729,112.37
Year 4 PV (M)33,289.3434,569.5535,886.34
Year 5 PV (M)38,970.8940,853.2042,807.55
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,244,018.531,304,105.091,366,491.31
Equity Value (M)1,381,149.661,445,749.941,512,777.35
Shares Outstanding (M)36.6836.6836.68
Fair Value$37,657.36$39,418.70$41,246.22
Upside / Downside206.91%221.26%236.16%

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