Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Time Interconnect Technology Limited (1729.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$14.10 - $59.72$35.09
Multi-Stage$6.89 - $7.55$7.21
Blended Fair Value$21.15
Current Price$4.11
Upside414.68%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.020.010.010.020.030.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--267.58%-55.56%-36.61%-16.58%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.60%0.52%0.82%2.07%6.67%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)584.66
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9.73
(=) Cash Retained (M)574.93
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)116.9373.0843.85
Cash Retained (M)574.93574.93574.93
(-) Cash Required (M)-116.93-73.08-43.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)458.00501.85531.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,946.881,946.881,946.88
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.240.260.27
LTM Dividend per Share0.000.000.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.240.260.27
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.240.260.28
WACC / Discount Rate7.30%7.30%7.30%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$14.10$35.09$59.72
Upside / Downside243.10%753.86%1,353.13%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)584.66622.67663.14706.25752.15801.04825.07
Payout Ratio1.66%19.33%37.00%54.67%72.33%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9.73120.37245.35386.07544.05720.94763.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.30%7.30%7.30%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)111.13112.18113.24
Year 2 PV (M)209.13213.11217.13
Year 3 PV (M)303.82312.54321.42
Year 4 PV (M)395.27410.47426.11
Year 5 PV (M)483.58506.93531.18
PV of Terminal Value (M)11,912.2012,487.5613,084.95
Equity Value (M)13,415.1214,042.8014,694.03
Shares Outstanding (M)1,946.881,946.881,946.88
Fair Value$6.89$7.21$7.55
Upside / Downside67.65%75.50%83.64%

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