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Definitive Analysis

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SD BioSensor, Inc (137310.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Instruments & SuppliesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8,093.10 - $12,234.45$10,044.71
Multi-Stage$16,158.71 - $17,794.46$16,960.50
Blended Fair Value$13,502.61
Current Price$9,930.00
Upside35.98%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%0.32245.461,650.84414.710.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---99.87%-85.13%298.07%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%2.06%7.82%0.74%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)113,215.48
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)24,175.19
(=) Cash Retained (M)89,040.29
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)22,643.1014,151.938,491.16
Cash Retained (M)89,040.2989,040.2989,040.29
(-) Cash Required (M)-22,643.10-14,151.93-8,491.16
(=) Excess Retained (M)66,397.2074,888.3680,549.13
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)120.38120.38120.38
(=) Excess Retained per Share551.54622.08669.10
LTM Dividend per Share200.82200.82200.82
(+) Excess Retained per Share551.54622.08669.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend752.36822.89869.92
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$8,093.10$10,044.71$12,234.45
Upside / Downside-18.50%1.16%23.21%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)113,215.48112,083.32110,962.49109,852.87108,754.34107,666.79110,896.80
Payout Ratio21.35%35.08%48.81%62.54%76.27%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)24,175.1939,321.7454,162.9668,703.4182,947.6496,900.11102,579.54

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)36,340.6036,711.4237,082.25
Year 2 PV (M)46,261.6447,210.5748,169.14
Year 3 PV (M)54,232.0955,909.2557,620.64
Year 4 PV (M)60,511.9863,019.9265,605.02
Year 5 PV (M)65,331.2568,733.2072,275.42
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,682,580.831,770,196.721,861,425.07
Equity Value (M)1,945,258.402,041,781.102,142,177.54
Shares Outstanding (M)120.38120.38120.38
Fair Value$16,158.71$16,960.50$17,794.46
Upside / Downside62.73%70.80%79.20%

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