Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

TCL Electronics Holdings Limited (1070.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Consumer ElectronicsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$13.10 - $24.58$17.77
Multi-Stage$21.16 - $23.26$22.19
Blended Fair Value$19.98
Current Price$9.54
Upside109.42%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.01%0.00%0.210.130.170.110.190.180.220.020.000.03
YoY Growth--65.87%-23.58%50.32%-41.58%4.19%-18.85%991.07%0.00%-100.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.24%3.54%4.99%3.28%3.13%5.56%4.99%0.56%0.00%0.60%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,199.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)403.35
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,796.52
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)439.97274.98164.99
Cash Retained (M)1,796.521,796.521,796.52
(-) Cash Required (M)-439.97-274.98-164.99
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,356.541,521.531,631.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,521.562,521.562,521.56
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.540.600.65
LTM Dividend per Share0.160.160.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.540.600.65
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.700.760.81
WACC / Discount Rate6.39%6.39%6.39%
Growth Rate1.01%2.01%3.01%
Fair Value$13.10$17.77$24.58
Upside / Downside37.29%86.26%157.62%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,199.872,244.022,289.052,334.992,381.862,429.662,502.55
Payout Ratio18.34%32.67%47.00%61.33%75.67%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)403.35733.081,075.881,432.151,802.282,186.692,314.86

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.39%6.39%6.39%
Growth Rate1.01%2.01%3.01%
Year 1 PV (M)682.30689.05695.81
Year 2 PV (M)931.99950.53969.26
Year 3 PV (M)1,154.671,189.311,224.63
Year 4 PV (M)1,352.441,406.791,462.78
Year 5 PV (M)1,527.241,604.351,684.54
PV of Terminal Value (M)47,702.0550,110.6052,615.46
Equity Value (M)53,350.6855,950.6358,652.48
Shares Outstanding (M)2,521.562,521.562,521.56
Fair Value$21.16$22.19$23.26
Upside / Downside121.78%132.59%143.82%

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