Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Walliser Kantonalbank (0RE6.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$145.79 - $253.51$191.93
Multi-Stage$224.26 - $246.46$235.15
Blended Fair Value$213.54
Current Price$122.00
Upside75.03%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.82%7.91%3.883.583.483.383.383.383.170.001.871.81
YoY Growth--8.45%2.90%2.99%0.00%0.00%6.35%0.00%-100.00%3.10%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.53%3.28%3.34%3.34%3.22%2.99%2.78%0.00%2.44%2.22%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)176.08
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)28.05
(=) Cash Retained (M)148.04
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)35.2222.0113.21
Cash Retained (M)148.04148.04148.04
(-) Cash Required (M)-35.22-22.01-13.21
(=) Excess Retained (M)112.82126.03134.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)15.6815.6815.68
(=) Excess Retained per Share7.208.048.60
LTM Dividend per Share1.791.791.79
(+) Excess Retained per Share7.208.048.60
(=) Adjusted Dividend8.989.8310.39
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate0.82%1.82%2.82%
Fair Value$145.79$191.93$253.51
Upside / Downside19.50%57.32%107.80%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)176.08179.29182.56185.88189.27192.71198.49
Payout Ratio15.93%30.74%45.56%60.37%75.19%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)28.0555.1283.17112.22142.30173.44183.61

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate0.82%1.82%2.82%
Year 1 PV (M)50.9951.4952.00
Year 2 PV (M)71.1772.5974.03
Year 3 PV (M)88.8491.5194.24
Year 4 PV (M)104.22108.42112.74
Year 5 PV (M)117.52123.46129.64
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,083.153,239.123,401.33
Equity Value (M)3,515.893,686.593,863.98
Shares Outstanding (M)15.6815.6815.68
Fair Value$224.26$235.15$246.46
Upside / Downside83.82%92.74%102.02%

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