Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Pharma Mar, S.A. (0RC6.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: BiotechnologySector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$18.73 - $27.61$22.99
Multi-Stage$33.78 - $37.14$35.43
Blended Fair Value$29.21
Current Price$79.50
Upside-63.26%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%-9.52%0.650.670.670.620.500.000.001.141.151.99
YoY Growth---2.30%-0.61%8.18%23.28%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-0.97%-42.24%12.23%
Dividend Yield--0.80%2.39%1.52%0.91%0.51%0.00%0.00%5.75%3.21%6.41%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)42.01
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)13.95
(=) Cash Retained (M)28.06
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8.405.253.15
Cash Retained (M)28.0628.0628.06
(-) Cash Required (M)-8.40-5.25-3.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)19.6622.8124.91
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)17.5417.5417.54
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.121.301.42
LTM Dividend per Share0.800.800.80
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.121.301.42
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.922.102.22
WACC / Discount Rate8.02%8.02%8.02%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$18.73$22.99$27.61
Upside / Downside-76.44%-71.08%-65.27%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)42.0141.5941.1740.7640.3539.9541.15
Payout Ratio33.20%44.56%55.92%67.28%78.64%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)13.9518.5323.0327.4231.7335.9638.06

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.02%8.02%8.02%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)16.9817.1617.33
Year 2 PV (M)19.3319.7320.13
Year 3 PV (M)21.1021.7622.42
Year 4 PV (M)22.3823.3024.26
Year 5 PV (M)23.2324.4425.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)489.53515.02541.57
Equity Value (M)592.57621.42651.42
Shares Outstanding (M)17.5417.5417.54
Fair Value$33.78$35.43$37.14
Upside / Downside-57.50%-55.43%-53.28%

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