Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Compagnie de l'Odet (0OPN.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: General TransportationSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3,318.61 - $5,543.46$4,297.87
Multi-Stage$11,461.42 - $12,660.05$12,048.75
Blended Fair Value$8,173.31
Current Price$1,492.00
Upside447.81%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS32.26%23.26%4.013.613.613.000.990.990.990.990.990.99
YoY Growth--11.11%0.00%20.47%202.38%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%100.00%
Dividend Yield--0.25%0.25%0.26%0.23%0.13%0.13%0.12%0.10%0.14%0.10%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,221.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)17.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,204.30
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)244.26152.6691.60
Cash Retained (M)1,204.301,204.301,204.30
(-) Cash Required (M)-244.26-152.66-91.60
(=) Excess Retained (M)960.041,051.641,112.70
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4.244.244.24
(=) Excess Retained per Share226.60248.22262.63
LTM Dividend per Share4.014.014.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share226.60248.22262.63
(=) Adjusted Dividend230.61252.23266.65
WACC / Discount Rate4.81%4.81%4.81%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$3,318.61$4,297.87$5,543.46
Upside / Downside122.43%188.06%271.55%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,221.301,209.091,197.001,185.031,173.181,161.441,196.29
Payout Ratio1.39%19.11%36.84%54.56%72.28%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)17.00231.10440.92646.51847.951,045.301,106.57

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.81%4.81%4.81%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)218.27220.49222.72
Year 2 PV (M)393.31401.37409.52
Year 3 PV (M)544.68561.52578.71
Year 4 PV (M)674.72702.68731.51
Year 5 PV (M)785.56826.47869.06
PV of Terminal Value (M)45,942.0748,334.3850,825.33
Equity Value (M)48,558.6051,046.9253,636.85
Shares Outstanding (M)4.244.244.24
Fair Value$11,461.42$12,048.75$12,660.05
Upside / Downside668.19%707.56%748.53%

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