Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Techwing, Inc. (089030.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,566.78 - $4,148.11$3,278.55
Multi-Stage$7,391.43 - $8,146.26$7,761.37
Blended Fair Value$5,519.96
Current Price$33,350.00
Upside-83.45%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS2.15%0.00%129.82129.82120.76120.32120.32116.72117.43110.51106.210.00
YoY Growth--0.00%7.50%0.37%0.00%3.08%-0.61%6.27%4.04%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.41%0.39%1.58%1.17%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)8,682.15
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4,646.26
(=) Cash Retained (M)4,035.88
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,736.431,085.27651.16
Cash Retained (M)4,035.884,035.884,035.88
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,736.43-1,085.27-651.16
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,299.452,950.623,384.72
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)35.7935.7935.79
(=) Excess Retained per Share64.2582.4494.57
LTM Dividend per Share129.82129.82129.82
(+) Excess Retained per Share64.2582.4494.57
(=) Adjusted Dividend194.06212.26224.39
WACC / Discount Rate5.41%5.41%5.41%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$2,566.78$3,278.55$4,148.11
Upside / Downside-92.30%-90.17%-87.56%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)8,682.158,595.328,509.378,424.288,340.038,256.638,504.33
Payout Ratio53.52%60.81%68.11%75.41%82.70%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4,646.265,227.005,795.656,352.426,897.467,430.977,866.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.41%5.41%5.41%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)4,908.674,958.765,008.85
Year 2 PV (M)5,111.245,216.085,321.99
Year 3 PV (M)5,261.075,423.775,589.79
Year 4 PV (M)5,364.595,586.925,816.10
Year 5 PV (M)5,427.565,710.186,004.46
PV of Terminal Value (M)238,473.68250,891.56263,821.44
Equity Value (M)264,546.80277,787.28291,562.63
Shares Outstanding (M)35.7935.7935.79
Fair Value$7,391.43$7,761.37$8,146.26
Upside / Downside-77.84%-76.73%-75.57%

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