Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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STX Engine Co.,Ltd. (077970.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$96,585.62 - $293,765.87$275,199.01
Multi-Stage$141,802.34 - $156,207.26$148,864.91
Blended Fair Value$212,031.96
Current Price$21,500.00
Upside886.20%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS60.44%0.00%330.0931.0531.1331.0531.0531.050.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--963.20%-0.27%0.28%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.59%0.24%0.24%0.24%0.39%0.72%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)46,672.05
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7,523.52
(=) Cash Retained (M)39,148.53
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9,334.415,834.013,500.40
Cash Retained (M)39,148.5339,148.5339,148.53
(-) Cash Required (M)-9,334.41-5,834.01-3,500.40
(=) Excess Retained (M)29,814.1233,314.5235,648.13
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)30.3930.3930.39
(=) Excess Retained per Share981.061,096.241,173.03
LTM Dividend per Share247.57247.57247.57
(+) Excess Retained per Share981.061,096.241,173.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,228.631,343.811,420.60
WACC / Discount Rate2.68%2.68%2.68%
Growth Rate1.39%2.39%3.39%
Fair Value$96,585.62$275,199.01$293,765.87
Upside / Downside349.24%1,180.00%1,266.35%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)46,672.0547,789.8348,934.3850,106.3451,306.3652,535.1354,111.18
Payout Ratio16.12%30.90%45.67%60.45%75.22%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7,523.5214,765.1422,349.3030,288.2738,594.6947,281.6150,052.84

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.68%2.68%2.68%
Growth Rate1.39%2.39%3.39%
Year 1 PV (M)14,238.6614,379.0914,519.52
Year 2 PV (M)20,783.9221,195.9021,611.93
Year 3 PV (M)27,162.5127,974.1228,801.75
Year 4 PV (M)33,377.5734,713.9136,089.99
Year 5 PV (M)39,432.2241,415.4443,477.66
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,174,338.294,384,284.264,602,593.81
Equity Value (M)4,309,333.174,523,962.734,747,094.66
Shares Outstanding (M)30.3930.3930.39
Fair Value$141,802.34$148,864.91$156,207.26
Upside / Downside559.55%592.39%626.55%

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