Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Techtronic Industries Company Limited (0669.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Tools & AccessoriesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$63.22 - $243.87$179.34
Multi-Stage$30.25 - $33.09$31.64
Blended Fair Value$105.49
Current Price$10.99
Upside859.90%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS16.80%22.89%0.260.240.250.210.140.120.100.070.060.04
YoY Growth--11.27%-5.12%16.82%50.63%17.01%21.90%34.59%33.45%23.75%33.41%
Dividend Yield--2.01%2.00%2.25%1.08%1.00%1.49%1.88%1.11%1.55%1.10%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,250.58
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)922.96
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,327.62
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)450.12281.32168.79
Cash Retained (M)1,327.621,327.621,327.62
(-) Cash Required (M)-450.12-281.32-168.79
(=) Excess Retained (M)877.501,046.301,158.82
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,835.341,835.341,835.34
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.480.570.63
LTM Dividend per Share0.500.500.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.480.570.63
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.981.071.13
WACC / Discount Rate7.14%7.14%7.14%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$63.22$179.34$243.87
Upside / Downside475.22%1,531.87%2,119.02%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,250.582,396.872,552.662,718.592,895.303,083.493,175.99
Payout Ratio41.01%50.81%60.61%70.40%80.20%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)922.961,217.801,547.071,913.992,322.082,775.142,937.79

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.14%7.14%7.14%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,126.001,136.671,147.35
Year 2 PV (M)1,322.621,347.811,373.24
Year 3 PV (M)1,512.961,556.401,600.65
Year 4 PV (M)1,697.181,762.451,829.59
Year 5 PV (M)1,875.421,966.002,060.05
PV of Terminal Value (M)47,987.9350,305.7652,712.31
Equity Value (M)55,522.1258,075.1060,723.19
Shares Outstanding (M)1,835.341,835.341,835.34
Fair Value$30.25$31.64$33.09
Upside / Downside175.27%187.92%201.05%

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