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Definitive Analysis

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Ingdan, Inc. (0400.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Technology DistributorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.72 - $12.27$8.15
Multi-Stage$7.83 - $8.60$8.21
Blended Fair Value$8.18
Current Price$1.35
Upside505.79%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.030.040.000.000.000.000.000.040.000.00
YoY Growth---5.06%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.97%3.21%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%1.28%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)440.11
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)98.26
(=) Cash Retained (M)341.85
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)88.0255.0133.01
Cash Retained (M)341.85341.85341.85
(-) Cash Required (M)-88.02-55.01-33.01
(=) Excess Retained (M)253.83286.84308.84
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,414.331,414.331,414.33
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.180.200.22
LTM Dividend per Share0.070.070.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.180.200.22
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.250.270.29
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate1.99%2.99%3.99%
Fair Value$5.72$8.15$12.27
Upside / Downside323.56%503.78%808.58%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)440.11453.27466.83480.80495.19510.00525.30
Payout Ratio22.33%35.86%49.40%62.93%76.47%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)98.26162.54230.59302.57378.64459.00485.90

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate1.99%2.99%3.99%
Year 1 PV (M)151.24152.72154.20
Year 2 PV (M)199.63203.56207.54
Year 3 PV (M)243.72250.96258.34
Year 4 PV (M)283.79295.08306.71
Year 5 PV (M)320.08336.09352.72
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,873.0410,366.6310,879.78
Equity Value (M)11,071.5011,605.0512,159.30
Shares Outstanding (M)1,414.331,414.331,414.33
Fair Value$7.83$8.21$8.60
Upside / Downside479.86%507.80%536.83%

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