Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Soosan Cebotics Co., Ltd. (017550.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3,069.26 - $5,862.67$4,192.28
Multi-Stage$3,448.34 - $3,783.65$3,612.84
Blended Fair Value$3,902.56
Current Price$1,805.00
Upside116.21%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%10.028.678.678.268.260.000.008.260.0012.16
YoY Growth--15.59%0.00%4.94%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.57%0.41%0.32%0.26%0.18%0.00%0.00%0.54%0.00%0.57%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)12,155.81
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)624.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)11,531.81
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,431.161,519.48911.69
Cash Retained (M)11,531.8111,531.8111,531.81
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,431.16-1,519.48-911.69
(=) Excess Retained (M)9,100.6410,012.3310,620.12
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)62.2562.2562.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share146.19160.84170.60
LTM Dividend per Share10.0210.0210.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share146.19160.84170.60
(=) Adjusted Dividend156.22170.86180.62
WACC / Discount Rate7.85%7.85%7.85%
Growth Rate2.63%3.63%4.63%
Fair Value$3,069.26$4,192.28$5,862.67
Upside / Downside70.04%132.26%224.80%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)12,155.8112,597.2113,054.6313,528.6614,019.9114,528.9914,964.86
Payout Ratio5.13%22.11%39.08%56.05%73.03%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)624.002,784.835,101.757,583.2710,238.2713,076.0913,842.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.85%7.85%7.85%
Growth Rate2.63%3.63%4.63%
Year 1 PV (M)2,557.102,582.022,606.93
Year 2 PV (M)4,301.494,385.724,470.77
Year 3 PV (M)5,870.916,044.206,220.86
Year 4 PV (M)7,278.227,566.057,862.35
Year 5 PV (M)8,535.448,959.459,400.15
PV of Terminal Value (M)186,120.40195,366.27204,975.99
Equity Value (M)214,663.54224,903.70235,537.04
Shares Outstanding (M)62.2562.2562.25
Fair Value$3,448.34$3,612.84$3,783.65
Upside / Downside91.04%100.16%109.62%

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