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Definitive Analysis

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Korea Electric Power Corporation (015760.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated ElectricSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$689,947.26 - $2,492,807.46$2,192,479.34
Multi-Stage$766,788.79 - $843,201.40$804,266.01
Blended Fair Value$1,498,372.67
Current Price$39,300.00
Upside3,712.65%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.02%-3.80%197.6870.6065.971,265.12126.64154.77933.682,087.953,253.19638.48
YoY Growth--180.00%7.03%-94.79%898.99%-18.18%-83.42%-55.28%-35.82%409.52%119.21%
Dividend Yield--0.91%0.32%0.37%5.59%0.55%0.80%3.08%6.36%7.00%1.06%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)8,237,058.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)256,967.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)7,980,091.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,647,411.601,029,632.25617,779.35
Cash Retained (M)7,980,091.007,980,091.007,980,091.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,647,411.60-1,029,632.25-617,779.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)6,332,679.406,950,458.757,362,311.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)641.96641.96641.96
(=) Excess Retained per Share9,864.5410,826.8711,468.42
LTM Dividend per Share400.28400.28400.28
(+) Excess Retained per Share9,864.5410,826.8711,468.42
(=) Adjusted Dividend10,264.8211,227.1511,868.70
WACC / Discount Rate4.55%4.55%4.55%
Growth Rate3.02%4.02%5.02%
Fair Value$689,947.26$2,192,479.34$2,492,807.46
Upside / Downside1,655.59%5,478.83%6,243.02%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)8,237,058.008,567,859.968,911,946.999,269,852.639,642,131.8410,029,361.8510,330,242.71
Payout Ratio3.12%20.50%37.87%55.25%72.62%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)256,967.001,756,044.273,375,113.605,121,395.037,002,494.999,026,425.679,555,474.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.55%4.55%4.55%
Growth Rate3.02%4.02%5.02%
Year 1 PV (M)1,663,495.071,679,643.001,695,790.93
Year 2 PV (M)3,028,729.673,087,816.213,147,473.54
Year 3 PV (M)4,353,579.224,481,597.484,612,101.06
Year 4 PV (M)5,638,934.385,861,096.906,089,760.21
Year 5 PV (M)6,885,668.387,226,423.827,580,538.23
PV of Terminal Value (M)470,680,390.50493,973,249.56518,179,281.53
Equity Value (M)492,250,797.24516,309,826.97541,304,945.51
Shares Outstanding (M)641.96641.96641.96
Fair Value$766,788.79$804,266.01$843,201.40
Upside / Downside1,851.12%1,946.48%2,045.55%

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