Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Kyeryong Construction Industrial Co., Ltd. (013580.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$345,080.04 - $1,277,620.63$1,048,259.83
Multi-Stage$184,448.38 - $202,222.34$193,170.19
Blended Fair Value$620,715.01
Current Price$20,600.00
Upside2,913.18%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-20.60%41.41%512.74499.88799.80599.85599.851,625.02169.4671.830.000.00
YoY Growth--2.57%-37.50%33.33%0.00%-63.09%858.94%135.91%0.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--4.01%3.51%4.62%1.48%1.89%12.40%0.68%0.39%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)57,265.48
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,543.12
(=) Cash Retained (M)53,722.36
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11,453.107,158.194,294.91
Cash Retained (M)53,722.3653,722.3653,722.36
(-) Cash Required (M)-11,453.10-7,158.19-4,294.91
(=) Excess Retained (M)42,269.2746,564.1849,427.45
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)8.868.868.86
(=) Excess Retained per Share4,770.805,255.555,578.72
LTM Dividend per Share399.90399.90399.90
(+) Excess Retained per Share4,770.805,255.555,578.72
(=) Adjusted Dividend5,170.705,655.455,978.62
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate4.85%5.85%6.85%
Fair Value$345,080.04$1,048,259.83$1,277,620.63
Upside / Downside1,575.15%4,988.64%6,102.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)57,265.4860,615.0164,160.4767,913.2971,885.6376,090.3178,373.02
Payout Ratio6.19%22.95%39.71%56.47%73.24%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,543.1213,910.9925,479.6038,353.9552,647.1968,481.2872,495.05

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate4.85%5.85%6.85%
Year 1 PV (M)12,948.2613,071.7613,195.25
Year 2 PV (M)22,074.9422,498.0322,925.14
Year 3 PV (M)30,929.3331,822.7632,733.24
Year 4 PV (M)39,517.4741,046.7742,620.04
Year 5 PV (M)47,845.3150,170.8752,586.00
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,480,897.341,552,877.731,627,630.24
Equity Value (M)1,634,212.661,711,487.931,791,689.90
Shares Outstanding (M)8.868.868.86
Fair Value$184,448.38$193,170.19$202,222.34
Upside / Downside795.38%837.72%881.66%

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