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Definitive Analysis

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Kwang Dong Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (009290.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$15,065.25 - $35,333.98$22,146.01
Multi-Stage$18,352.61 - $20,152.40$19,235.45
Blended Fair Value$20,690.73
Current Price$5,830.00
Upside254.90%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.51%3.37%101.44103.98103.98103.9880.1481.3682.1682.1782.1781.35
YoY Growth---2.43%0.00%0.00%29.74%-1.49%-0.98%-0.01%0.00%1.01%11.75%
Dividend Yield--1.97%1.42%1.88%1.38%0.94%1.43%1.17%0.92%0.92%0.73%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)29,182.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,927.88
(=) Cash Retained (M)25,255.04
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5,836.583,647.862,188.72
Cash Retained (M)25,255.0425,255.0425,255.04
(-) Cash Required (M)-5,836.58-3,647.86-2,188.72
(=) Excess Retained (M)19,418.4621,607.1823,066.32
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)39.5139.5139.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share491.50546.90583.84
LTM Dividend per Share99.4299.4299.42
(+) Excess Retained per Share491.50546.90583.84
(=) Adjusted Dividend590.92646.32683.25
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate2.51%3.51%4.51%
Fair Value$15,065.25$22,146.01$35,333.98
Upside / Downside158.41%279.86%506.07%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)29,182.9230,207.7831,268.6332,366.7433,503.4234,680.0135,720.41
Payout Ratio13.46%28.77%44.08%59.38%74.69%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,927.888,690.0613,781.8719,220.6025,024.3431,212.0133,041.38

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate2.51%3.51%4.51%
Year 1 PV (M)8,078.368,157.168,235.97
Year 2 PV (M)11,909.9412,143.4312,379.19
Year 3 PV (M)15,440.7715,897.0616,362.26
Year 4 PV (M)18,688.1019,428.0520,189.75
Year 5 PV (M)21,668.3022,745.9923,866.14
PV of Terminal Value (M)649,294.01681,587.15715,152.59
Equity Value (M)725,079.48759,958.84796,185.90
Shares Outstanding (M)39.5139.5139.51
Fair Value$18,352.61$19,235.45$20,152.40
Upside / Downside214.80%229.94%245.67%

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