Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sempio Company (007540.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$48,274.29 - $71,066.01$59,217.76
Multi-Stage$91,305.14 - $100,624.56$95,872.71
Blended Fair Value$77,545.23
Current Price$47,650.00
Upside62.74%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-0.91%-0.46%429.09592.89449.14449.14449.17449.11723.58453.81449.93449.54
YoY Growth---27.63%32.01%0.00%-0.01%0.01%-37.93%59.45%0.86%0.09%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.07%1.19%0.87%0.95%0.84%1.50%2.03%1.47%1.22%2.14%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)12,564.17
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)864.72
(=) Cash Retained (M)11,699.44
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,512.831,570.52942.31
Cash Retained (M)11,699.4411,699.4411,699.44
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,512.83-1,570.52-942.31
(=) Excess Retained (M)9,186.6110,128.9210,757.13
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2.022.022.02
(=) Excess Retained per Share4,558.555,026.145,337.86
LTM Dividend per Share429.09429.09429.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share4,558.555,026.145,337.86
(=) Adjusted Dividend4,987.645,455.235,766.95
WACC / Discount Rate7.61%7.61%7.61%
Growth Rate-2.46%-1.46%-0.46%
Fair Value$48,274.29$59,217.76$71,066.01
Upside / Downside1.31%24.28%49.14%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)12,564.1712,380.1312,198.7912,020.1011,844.0311,670.5412,020.66
Payout Ratio6.88%23.51%40.13%56.75%73.38%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)864.722,910.074,895.316,821.778,690.7310,503.4911,119.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.61%7.61%7.61%
Growth Rate-2.46%-1.46%-0.46%
Year 1 PV (M)2,676.772,704.212,731.66
Year 2 PV (M)4,141.864,227.224,313.46
Year 3 PV (M)5,309.085,474.065,642.42
Year 4 PV (M)6,221.386,480.486,747.58
Year 5 PV (M)6,916.267,278.167,655.05
PV of Terminal Value (M)158,737.32167,043.34175,693.47
Equity Value (M)184,002.67193,207.47202,783.64
Shares Outstanding (M)2.022.022.02
Fair Value$91,305.14$95,872.71$100,624.56
Upside / Downside91.62%101.20%111.17%

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