Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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SamYoung Chemical Co.,Ltd (003720.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaging & ContainersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,948.40 - $2,995.57$2,436.12
Multi-Stage$4,175.43 - $4,603.37$4,385.17
Blended Fair Value$3,410.64
Current Price$3,785.00
Upside-9.89%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%20.080.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.53%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7,057.07
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)658.48
(=) Cash Retained (M)6,398.59
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,411.41882.13529.28
Cash Retained (M)6,398.596,398.596,398.59
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,411.41-882.13-529.28
(=) Excess Retained (M)4,987.185,516.465,869.31
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)33.0233.0233.02
(=) Excess Retained per Share151.02167.04177.73
LTM Dividend per Share19.9419.9419.94
(+) Excess Retained per Share151.02167.04177.73
(=) Adjusted Dividend170.96186.98197.67
WACC / Discount Rate6.60%6.60%6.60%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1,948.40$2,436.12$2,995.57
Upside / Downside-48.52%-35.64%-20.86%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7,057.076,986.506,916.636,847.476,778.996,711.206,912.54
Payout Ratio9.33%25.46%41.60%57.73%73.87%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)658.481,779.092,877.213,953.205,007.386,040.086,394.10

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.60%6.60%6.60%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)1,652.101,668.961,685.81
Year 2 PV (M)2,481.132,532.032,583.44
Year 3 PV (M)3,165.673,263.573,363.47
Year 4 PV (M)3,723.633,877.964,037.03
Year 5 PV (M)4,170.984,388.174,614.32
PV of Terminal Value (M)122,695.95129,085.02135,737.51
Equity Value (M)137,889.47144,815.71152,021.58
Shares Outstanding (M)33.0233.0233.02
Fair Value$4,175.43$4,385.17$4,603.37
Upside / Downside10.32%15.86%21.62%

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