Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Hankook Cosmetics Manufacturing Co., Ltd (003350.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Household & Personal ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$203,290.28 - $745,327.99$339,738.13
Multi-Stage$125,894.18 - $137,784.67$131,730.55
Blended Fair Value$235,734.34
Current Price$56,400.00
Upside317.97%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%100.00100.000.000.00100.00100.00100.00100.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.20%0.39%0.00%0.00%0.28%0.40%0.28%0.24%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)25,731.53
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)725.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)25,006.53
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5,146.313,216.441,929.87
Cash Retained (M)25,006.5325,006.5325,006.53
(-) Cash Required (M)-5,146.31-3,216.44-1,929.87
(=) Excess Retained (M)19,860.2321,790.0923,076.67
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3.633.633.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share5,478.686,011.066,365.98
LTM Dividend per Share200.00200.00200.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share5,478.686,011.066,365.98
(=) Adjusted Dividend5,678.686,211.066,565.98
WACC / Discount Rate8.45%8.45%8.45%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$203,290.28$339,738.13$745,327.99
Upside / Downside260.44%502.37%1,221.50%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)25,731.5327,404.0829,185.3531,082.4033,102.7535,254.4336,312.06
Payout Ratio2.82%20.25%37.69%55.13%72.56%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)725.005,550.4411,000.1117,134.8024,020.5231,728.9933,588.66

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.45%8.45%8.45%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)5,070.055,118.115,166.17
Year 2 PV (M)9,178.419,353.249,529.71
Year 3 PV (M)13,059.7513,434.6413,816.65
Year 4 PV (M)16,723.3517,366.4818,027.99
Year 5 PV (M)20,178.2021,152.8122,164.72
PV of Terminal Value (M)392,156.64411,097.95430,764.19
Equity Value (M)456,366.39477,523.23499,469.43
Shares Outstanding (M)3.633.633.63
Fair Value$125,894.18$131,730.55$137,784.67
Upside / Downside123.22%133.56%144.30%

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