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Definitive Analysis

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Samyang Foods Co., Ltd. (003230.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,846,984.49 - $9,864,217.92$9,244,216.79
Multi-Stage$1,245,724.82 - $1,364,420.54$1,303,979.48
Blended Fair Value$5,274,098.14
Current Price$1,529,000.00
Upside244.94%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS42.05%38.38%2,600.041,600.031,811.96808.00808.00449.59252.50151.5050.50101.00
YoY Growth--62.50%-11.70%124.25%0.00%79.72%78.05%66.67%200.00%-50.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.30%0.73%1.52%0.87%0.91%0.48%0.30%0.18%0.08%0.42%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)369,917.47
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)29,832.51
(=) Cash Retained (M)340,084.96
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)73,983.4946,239.6827,743.81
Cash Retained (M)340,084.96340,084.96340,084.96
(-) Cash Required (M)-73,983.49-46,239.68-27,743.81
(=) Excess Retained (M)266,101.47293,845.28312,341.15
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7.467.467.46
(=) Excess Retained per Share35,680.0039,400.0141,880.01
LTM Dividend per Share4,000.074,000.074,000.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share35,680.0039,400.0141,880.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend39,680.0743,400.0845,880.08
WACC / Discount Rate6.97%6.97%6.97%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$2,846,984.49$9,244,216.79$9,864,217.92
Upside / Downside86.20%504.59%545.14%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)369,917.47393,962.11419,569.64446,841.67475,886.38506,818.99522,023.56
Payout Ratio8.06%24.45%40.84%57.23%73.61%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)29,832.5196,330.48171,347.14255,708.97350,313.90456,137.10482,871.80

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.97%6.97%6.97%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)89,207.8190,053.3990,898.96
Year 2 PV (M)146,945.13149,744.03152,569.32
Year 3 PV (M)203,078.28208,907.93214,848.09
Year 4 PV (M)257,640.46267,548.58277,739.77
Year 5 PV (M)310,664.23325,669.43341,248.92
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,283,079.778,683,155.629,098,543.32
Equity Value (M)9,290,615.699,725,078.9810,175,848.37
Shares Outstanding (M)7.467.467.46
Fair Value$1,245,724.82$1,303,979.48$1,364,420.54
Upside / Downside-18.53%-14.72%-10.76%

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