Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Xiamen Intretech Inc. (002925.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Consumer ElectronicsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.46 - $5.47$4.38
Multi-Stage$7.59 - $8.35$7.96
Blended Fair Value$6.17
Current Price$20.09
Upside-69.29%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.51%43.01%0.630.861.080.640.620.620.490.210.090.05
YoY Growth---26.80%-19.82%68.85%2.19%1.27%25.93%132.86%144.05%67.02%191.81%
Dividend Yield--4.00%5.42%5.17%2.60%1.66%2.31%1.51%0.42%0.45%0.27%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)257.58
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)110.99
(=) Cash Retained (M)146.59
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)51.5232.2019.32
Cash Retained (M)146.59146.59146.59
(-) Cash Required (M)-51.52-32.20-19.32
(=) Excess Retained (M)95.08114.39127.27
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)744.20744.20744.20
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.130.150.17
LTM Dividend per Share0.150.150.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.130.150.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.280.300.32
WACC / Discount Rate6.39%6.39%6.39%
Growth Rate-1.49%-0.49%0.51%
Fair Value$3.46$4.38$5.47
Upside / Downside-82.78%-78.20%-72.77%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)257.58256.31255.04253.78252.53251.28258.82
Payout Ratio43.09%52.47%61.85%71.24%80.62%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)110.99134.49157.75180.78203.58226.16239.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.39%6.39%6.39%
Growth Rate-1.49%-0.49%0.51%
Year 1 PV (M)125.14126.41127.68
Year 2 PV (M)136.59139.37142.19
Year 3 PV (M)145.65150.13154.70
Year 4 PV (M)152.62158.91165.40
Year 5 PV (M)157.76165.93174.44
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,928.035,183.305,449.04
Equity Value (M)5,645.785,924.056,213.44
Shares Outstanding (M)744.20744.20744.20
Fair Value$7.59$7.96$8.35
Upside / Downside-62.24%-60.38%-58.44%

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