Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Shenzhen King Explorer Science and Technology Corporation (002917.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$73.61 - $86.73$81.28
Multi-Stage$14.92 - $16.35$15.62
Blended Fair Value$48.45
Current Price$13.95
Upside247.31%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS41.00%0.00%0.180.160.180.120.060.030.060.000.030.21
YoY Growth--18.36%-15.71%52.31%88.24%94.84%-46.45%0.00%-100.00%-86.17%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.39%1.78%1.73%1.16%0.76%0.35%0.55%0.00%0.41%2.98%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)149.28
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)16.57
(=) Cash Retained (M)132.70
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)29.8618.6611.20
Cash Retained (M)132.70132.70132.70
(-) Cash Required (M)-29.86-18.66-11.20
(=) Excess Retained (M)102.85114.05121.51
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)342.29342.29342.29
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.300.330.35
LTM Dividend per Share0.050.050.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.300.330.35
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.350.380.40
WACC / Discount Rate5.97%5.97%5.97%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$73.61$81.28$86.73
Upside / Downside427.70%482.65%521.72%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)149.28158.98169.31180.32192.04204.52210.66
Payout Ratio11.10%26.88%42.66%58.44%74.22%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)16.5742.7372.23105.38142.53184.07194.86

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.97%5.97%5.97%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)39.9540.3340.70
Year 2 PV (M)63.1164.3265.53
Year 3 PV (M)86.0788.5491.06
Year 4 PV (M)108.83113.01117.32
Year 5 PV (M)131.37137.72144.31
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,677.054,902.955,137.50
Equity Value (M)5,106.385,346.865,596.42
Shares Outstanding (M)342.29342.29342.29
Fair Value$14.92$15.62$16.35
Upside / Downside6.94%11.98%17.20%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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