Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Bichamp Cutting Technology (Hunan) Co., Ltd. (002843.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Tools & AccessoriesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.25 - $33.52$16.32
Multi-Stage$3.86 - $4.22$4.03
Blended Fair Value$10.18
Current Price$23.60
Upside-56.87%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-17.99%5.85%0.210.050.130.080.250.560.080.080.080.12
YoY Growth--350.92%-63.44%57.88%-68.33%-55.00%566.67%0.00%0.00%-28.57%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.92%0.24%0.73%0.86%3.21%6.49%0.72%0.67%0.34%2.01%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)42.29
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)19.69
(=) Cash Retained (M)22.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8.465.293.17
Cash Retained (M)22.6022.6022.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-8.46-5.29-3.17
(=) Excess Retained (M)14.1417.3119.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)250.94250.94250.94
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.060.070.08
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.060.070.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.130.150.16
WACC / Discount Rate7.46%7.46%7.46%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$7.25$16.32$33.52
Upside / Downside-69.28%-30.84%42.02%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)42.2945.0447.9751.0954.4157.9459.68
Payout Ratio46.56%55.25%63.94%72.62%81.31%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)19.6924.8830.6737.1044.2452.1555.21

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.46%7.46%7.46%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)22.9423.1623.37
Year 2 PV (M)26.0626.5627.06
Year 3 PV (M)29.0629.9030.75
Year 4 PV (M)31.9433.1734.44
Year 5 PV (M)34.7136.3938.13
PV of Terminal Value (M)823.50863.27904.57
Equity Value (M)968.221,012.451,058.32
Shares Outstanding (M)250.94250.94250.94
Fair Value$3.86$4.03$4.22
Upside / Downside-83.65%-82.90%-82.13%

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