Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Huasi Holding Company Limited (002494.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.21 - $0.29$0.25
Multi-Stage$0.53 - $0.58$0.55
Blended Fair Value$0.40
Current Price$4.93
Upside-91.84%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-16.00%-16.96%0.020.010.010.010.030.040.040.050.120.09
YoY Growth--28.01%112.63%-50.07%-50.95%-37.25%5.12%-15.62%-61.30%39.24%-22.07%
Dividend Yield--0.42%0.32%0.13%0.27%0.71%0.81%0.58%0.59%1.06%0.48%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)15.04
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4.44
(=) Cash Retained (M)10.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.011.881.13
Cash Retained (M)10.6010.6010.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.01-1.88-1.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)7.608.729.48
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)371.57371.57371.57
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.020.020.03
LTM Dividend per Share0.010.010.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.020.020.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.030.040.04
WACC / Discount Rate7.28%7.28%7.28%
Growth Rate-6.95%-5.95%-4.95%
Fair Value$0.21$0.25$0.29
Upside / Downside-95.71%-94.89%-94.10%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)15.0414.1513.3012.5111.7711.0711.40
Payout Ratio29.50%41.60%53.70%65.80%77.90%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4.445.887.148.239.179.9610.54

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.28%7.28%7.28%
Growth Rate-6.95%-5.95%-4.95%
Year 1 PV (M)5.435.495.54
Year 2 PV (M)6.086.216.34
Year 3 PV (M)6.466.676.88
Year 4 PV (M)6.636.927.22
Year 5 PV (M)6.647.017.39
PV of Terminal Value (M)164.25173.27182.68
Equity Value (M)195.49205.56216.06
Shares Outstanding (M)371.57371.57371.57
Fair Value$0.53$0.55$0.58
Upside / Downside-89.33%-88.78%-88.21%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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