Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Tianjin Printronics Circuit Corporation (002134.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$13.09 - $15.42$14.45
Multi-Stage$2.82 - $3.08$2.95
Blended Fair Value$8.70
Current Price$20.53
Upside-57.63%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS78.10%15.57%0.050.010.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.01
YoY Growth--509.83%0.00%-100.00%-59.60%12.29%0.00%-100.00%148.30%-87.24%-45.49%
Dividend Yield--0.25%0.09%0.00%0.01%0.04%0.03%0.00%0.02%0.01%0.05%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)18.04
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)16.39
(=) Cash Retained (M)1.66
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.612.261.35
Cash Retained (M)1.661.661.66
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.61-2.26-1.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)-1.95-0.600.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)232.67232.67232.67
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.000.00
LTM Dividend per Share0.070.070.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.000.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.060.070.07
WACC / Discount Rate5.93%5.93%5.93%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$13.09$14.45$15.42
Upside / Downside-36.24%-29.60%-24.88%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)18.0419.2220.4721.8023.2124.7225.46
Payout Ratio90.82%90.65%90.49%90.33%90.16%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)16.3917.4218.5219.6920.9322.2523.55

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.93%5.93%5.93%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)16.2916.4516.60
Year 2 PV (M)16.2016.5016.81
Year 3 PV (M)16.1016.5617.03
Year 4 PV (M)16.0116.6217.25
Year 5 PV (M)15.9116.6817.48
PV of Terminal Value (M)574.67602.42631.24
Equity Value (M)655.17685.23716.42
Shares Outstanding (M)232.67232.67232.67
Fair Value$2.82$2.95$3.08
Upside / Downside-86.28%-85.65%-85.00%

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